Anyone But Eby

BC votes Saturday, October 24, 2026 · A personal, non-commercial voting guide

Our analysis · 2026-09-24

The 70,000-job pipeline Eby said no to

Alberta's West Coast pipeline would put up to 70,000 BC jobs and $29 billion to $38 billion of construction in this province. Eby's first answer was no, and his first worry was not what BC would get.

Alberta has filed a plan for a million-barrel-a-day oil pipeline to a new export terminal in Delta. By its proponent's numbers, most of the construction and most of the jobs would be in BC. BC's premier spent the months when the terms were being written saying no.

The first answer was no

When Danielle Smith first proposed an Alberta-to-Prince Rupert pipeline in 2025, Eby did not name a price, a royalty, or a benefits package for BC. He said no,⁠[1] and defended the federal tanker ban as "foundational."⁠[2]

Ottawa and Alberta signed a pipeline memorandum without him in November 2025, opening the door to adjusting that ban.⁠[3] Eby's first worry was not what BC would get. It was that the project might become "an energy vampire," drawing federal attention away from LNG terminals and transmission lines.⁠[4]

What BC was saying no to

In July 2026 Alberta filed the actual proposal: a million barrels a day through about 1,250 km of pipe, mostly along the existing Trans Mountain corridor, to a new export terminal at Roberts Bank in Delta.⁠[5]⁠[6] The southern route avoids reopening the north-coast tanker ban.⁠[7]

Alberta's submission, modelled by RBC Capital Markets, projects up to 70,000 jobs in BC at the construction peak in the early 2030s, 2.8% of the province's workforce. It puts $29 billion to $38 billion of construction spending in BC, lifting provincial GDP by about 1.5% at the peak, plus $51 million a year in property taxes to BC local governments.⁠[6]

Those are the proponent's numbers, and TD Economics cautions that such estimates "may lean optimistic." Even TD's more conservative reading has the project permanently lifting Canada's GDP by about 0.3%.⁠[7] BC stands to host the terminal, most of the construction, and most of the jobs.

Then he stopped fighting it

Eby now says BC will not go to court to fight the pipeline.⁠[8] That leaves the months he spent saying no while Ottawa and Alberta wrote the terms without him. BC's coast, ports, and jobs were on that table, and BC's premier was not.

His voters sit elsewhere. Angus Reid found 53% of British Columbians support the pipeline, and 60% of Canadians.⁠[9]

A premier who wants to be trusted with BC's economy should have been at that table negotiating what BC gets for a yes. Eby spent that time saying no, then conceded he would not fight it anyway.

Sources

  1. As Smith Pushes New Pipeline Plan, Eby Says No Way — The Tyee, 2025-10-02
  2. Lifting tanker ban would sink billions in 'real' projects, says BC Premier David Eby — Canada's National Observer, 2025-10-14
  3. Carney, Smith sign pipeline deal, open door to changing B.C. tanker ban — The Canadian Press, 2025-11-27
  4. B.C. Premier Eby doesn't want Alberta's proposed pipeline to be 'energy vampire' — Ladysmith Chronicle (Black Press Media), 2025-11-27
  5. West Coast Oil Pipeline — Major Projects Office, Privy Council Office, 2026-09-02
  6. West Coast Oil Pipeline Project: Submission by the Government of Alberta to the Major Projects Office — Government of Alberta, 2026-07-02
  7. Pipelines and Pathways: Canada's Energy Bargain Takes Shape — TD Economics, 2026-07-27
  8. Alberta government submits West Coast pipeline application — Victoria News (Black Press Media), 2026-07-02
  9. Six-in-ten Canadians support an Alberta-to-B.C. coast pipeline — Angus Reid Institute, 2025-11-27